Saturday, April 30, 2022

A 'sentinel species' provides an early indicator when an ecosystem is failing

Emperor penguins need exactly the right amount of ice. As read in Ashley Strickland's CNN article, April 29, 2022:

"Emperor penguins live in a delicate balance with their environment, there is a sea ice 'Goldilocks' zone," said study author Stephanie Jenouvrier, seabird ecologist and associate scientist at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, in a statement. "If there is too little sea ice, chicks can drown when sea ice breaks up early; if there is too much sea ice, foraging trips become too long and more arduous, and the chicks may starve."

The chicks must shed their down before growing the waterproof feathers they use to swim — but if they are still covered in down when the ice breaks, they'll sink.

As top predators, emperor penguins serve as sentinel species, meaning they are ideal species to study in a fluctuating ecosystem because they can reveal if something is wrong. By studying these birds, Zitterbart and his team can learn about the impacts of the climate crisis in Antarctica.

August 2023 update

"Four out of five emperor penguin colonies analyzed in the Bellingshausen Sea, west of the Antarctic Peninsula, saw no chicks survive last year as the area experienced an enormous loss of sea ice, according to a new study published Thursday [August 24, 2023] in the journal Nature Communications Earth & Environment." — CNN

"Thousands Of Penguin Chicks Likely Killed By Sea Ice Breaking Up Early" The fate of the young emperor penguins is “a grim story,” a researcher studying the birds said. Hilary Hanson, HuffPost, Aug 26, 2023

"Not a single emperor penguin chick survived spring in parts of Antarctica," Laura Chung, Sydney Morning Herald, August 25, 2023

emperor penguins
Emperor Penguins by Terri Stalons from Pixabay

Other species

African wild dogs (see Mastodon post)

See also: "Re-envisioning Environment". It's an 8-minute read on Medium. Medium lets you read a certain number of stories for free every month. You may also consider a paid membership on the platform.

What will be the next environmental disaster to punctuate our equilibrium?

From today's reading. Andrew J. Hoffman explained in 2015:

...social change is not always linear; there are often periods when change happens in leaps...Social scientists call this pattern of stasis interrupted by rapid social change ‘punctuated equilibrium.’

American physicist and historian Thomas Kuhn first described this process in science as a series of transitions from normal science to revolutionary science. A phase of normal science begins when a theory emerges as dominant to other existing theories and becomes the ‘paradigm.’ But established theories become challenged and ultimately change when anomalous events emerge which cannot be explained or solved by the existing order. Conflict over the nature, meaning, and response to these events ensues, and the period of revolutionary science ends when a new theory is successful in providing a socially adequate response to the anomaly and becomes the basis of a new paradigm.

We can view the shifting beliefs around environmentalism as having been prodded along by such moments of punctuation: Rachel Carson’s book Silent Spring in 1962, the Santa Barbara oil spill in 1969, and the Cuyahoga River fire in 1969 challenged pre-existing beliefs about pollution and ushered in the modern environmental movement of the 1970s. The Bhopal disaster of 1984, the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole in 1985, the Chernobyl nuclear disaster in 1986, and the Exxon Valdez oil spill in 1990 elevated pollution concerns to a new level and brought environmental issues into the mainstream of business in the 1990s.

This is from the book:
Andrew J. Hoffman. How Culture Shapes the Climate Change Debate. Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 2015. p. 49.

Oh, wait, the ozone hole may not be recovering and may even be expanding. CNN, November 2023.

See also: "Talking to Climate Skeptics". It's a 10-minute read on Medium. Medium lets you read a certain number of stories for free every month. You may also consider a paid membership on the platform.

Book cover: How Culture Shapes the Climate Change Debate

Monday, April 25, 2022

The brief popularity of 'Hello Kitty balloon in a tree'

I was surprised to discover the appeal of my YouTube video "Hello Kitty balloon in a tree." I still do not understand it.

It's a 12-second video that shows a Hello Kitty balloon in a tree. So far, it's been viewed 103,000 times.

Hello Kitty balloon in a tree

Internet fans discovered it in 2021, though it had been available for several years.

Metrics for Hello Kitty balloon in a tree: Number of views

Half of the viewers were in Indonesia. Most of the remainder were elsewhere in Asia.

Metrics for Hello Kitty balloon in a tree: Country

The average viewer was about 30 years old. No one over 45 was watching.

Metrics for Hello Kitty balloon in a tree: Viewer age

Women watched the video a bit more often than men, but it was pretty evenly split.

Metrics for Hello Kitty balloon in a tree: Gender

But then, the phenomenon ended. I don't know why.

Maybe it was a handful of people who played it on repeat and finally got bored of it. I suppose I'll never know.

I occasionally post other surreal videos, but none have been quite so popular.

Friday, April 22, 2022

Will U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be allowed to run for reelection?

In April 2022, when a reporter asked Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene about January 6, she responded, "It was a riot, it was horrible, I hated it, I was shocked, it was a terrible experience," but she also said it happened only "one time" and was "over" so people had grown "sick and tired" of hearing about it. She said "everyone's being prosecuted that should be prosecuted" while also — contradictorily — proposing that the reporter "visit" people who "are rotting in jail pre-trial" (why would he visit them? for sympathy? or for a sympathetic interview?) and that he verify whether those prisoners included anyone from the political left (she was implying that, no, only conservatives are being unfairly jailed). That was a head-spinning dissertation.

There is a legal case against her to determine whether she is eligible for reelection. People who aid insurrections are ineligible. If she is placed legally in that category, she can't run for office again.

Right now, she's testifying in a court hearing in Atlanta.

illustration of hands placing ballots in a box

Update: She ran, and she won.

Maybe she'll even join Trump's ticket and run on Trump's ticket. On Jan. 30, 2023, Will Leitch wrote on Medium:

"The day a theoretical second Trump administration would begin, January 20, 2025, Trump would be 78 1/2 years old, famously unhealthy, taking over the most stressful job on the planet. And Marjorie Taylor Greene would be his Vice President. There is a potential future, a very real potential future, where Marjorie Taylor Greene is the President of the United States. Pretending that’s not the case is an excellent route to allowing it to happen."

Update: She won, and she got a '60 Minutes' profile.

"Legal scholars increasingly raise constitutional argument that Trump should be barred from presidency" Katelyn Polantz, CNN, Aug 19, 2023

She can run for office (and win) but she can't, however, do anything anywhere she likes. Example: "A Florida resort scheduled to host Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) for what organizers claimed would be a small book signing abruptly canceled it Thursday after learning the gathering was actually meant to commemorate the third anniversary of the deadly Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol." (HuffPost, Jan 5, 2024)

See also: "What Will the January 6 Committee Deliver?". It's a 5-minute read on Medium. Medium lets you read a certain number of stories for free every month. You may also consider a paid membership on the platform.

Thursday, April 21, 2022

To meet climate goals, when do we have to 'walk and bike a lot more'? Now.

Farhad Manjoo in the New York Times:

"While it’s very nice that cars are transitioning from gas to electricity, switching the fuel source of our automobiles is unlikely to be enough to meet our goals for emissions reductions to combat climate change. Combating climate change also requires American to drive less and walk and bike a lot more than we do now."
bicycle in the rain on an urban street

So, regarding bike safety:

"American states and cities now have an opportunity to do [the] same [as Amsterdam]. But they must act fast, and they must act decisively. This is no time for half-decade-long action plans."
"Riding a Bike in America Should Not Be This Dangerous." Farhad Manjoo. New York Times. April 21, 2022.

In the 2020s, we must reduce driving 25%

Matthew Lewis tweets on Aug 26, 2023: It’s not 'oh well first we can get everyone an electric car, then see if they drive less.' That’s a ~ 3 degree future you’re talking about. It’s reduce driving 25% *this decade* — amount of time it would take to build tons of infill housing, world-class safe streets …
So not only would electric sprawl suck to live in, and be built in areas at extreme risk of climate catastrophe, but it wouldn’t even actually help us achieve our climate targets. That’s stupid, IMO.

People can come together in different ways

"In an influential essay in 1938, Lewis Mumford, perhaps the greatest American critic of urban planning, defined a city as that place where 'the diffused rays of many beams of life fall into focus.' Cities, said Mumford, are the culmination of humankind’s domination of the earth; they’re where the need for industry and cooperation have come together. Cities are the great sites of monumental and public life they are living museums of themselves, cathedrals to their own glory and to the forms of life they make possible; cities are where vastly different kinds of people can come together with different functions, and desires, and needs, that somehow are orchestrated into the great four-dimensional fold of human social life."

Why Are We So Obsessed with Making Cities Greener? Des Fitzgerald Wonders What "Nature" Actually Is. Des Fitzgerald. LitHub. November 21, 2023.

See also: "'This is the Team': Collective Change on Climate". It's a 7-minute read on Medium. Medium lets you read a certain number of stories for free every month. You may also consider a paid membership on the platform.

If you like the bike photo, feel free to use it elsewhere. If you'd like to give credit, it's by Tucker Lieberman and you can find it on Pixabay.

Anti-transgender laws target kids' sports

two people fencing
"About a dozen states, including Oklahoma, Arizona, Iowa and Florida, have passed laws banning trans athletes from participating in sports teams consistent with their gender identity. These laws really only target young trans kids in school who are looking to express themselves, play sports with their friends or who like me, escape their anxieties through competition."
"Opinion: I'm a transgender player in a women's hockey league. And that's exactly where I belong." Danielle McLean. CNN. April 20, 2022.

See this article by Steven Saus — Oklahoma senator didn't speak to a single trans person before drafting legislation to prevent people from accessing transition care until they're 26 — at which point they're likely uninsured under the Affordable Care Act. So, the sports law wasn't just about sports.

Kansas sports bill 2023

Well, look at this: "FIDE bans transgender women from competing in women’s chess events pending ‘further analysis’," Ben Church, CNN, August 17, 2023. Under regulations taking effect August 21, trans women must provide the chess organization with "sufficient proof of a gender change that complies with their national laws and regulations," and the organization can take up to two years to decide whether to allow them to play in women's tournaments. Also, "if a player holds a women’s title, but changes their gender to male, their women’s title will be 'abolished.' However, if the gender change is from male to female, all previous titles will remain 'eligible.'" The National Center for Transgender Equality noted that this policy "assumes that cis women couldn’t be competitive against cis men."


Ugla Stefanía Kristjönudóttir Jónsdóttir tweets: Trans women being banned from competing with other women in chess shows you exactly how ridiculous this 'debate' has become. It's always been about gender essentialist ideas which focus on stereotypes and bogus biological 'superiority' of men.
Katy Montgomerie tweets: In banning trans women from chess the insane anti-trans lobby has fully revealed their hand. They don't just believe that sex is a non-material immutable binary, they also think that women are intellectually inferior. Which is what we've been saying they believe from the start
Literally not one person calling for blanket bans of trans women in sports & games cares about fairness or science or results - obviously, given that trans women under perform across the board. They just think men are superior and that the magic essence men get at birth is sacred
You see it when they describe biological changes in trans people's bodies as 'cosmetic'. For a lot of them that's because they are profoundly ignorant, but for some it's because the thing that makes you a man or woman is supernatural. They say biology a lot to sound 'sciencey'
To a transphobe there is a supernatural order. Men first, women second. Women are inferior in body and mind. And that cannot be changed, no matter what physical or social changes one undergoes. Because if it could be changed then that hierarchy falls apart. It threatens order
They think male violence is inevitable because it's part of what men are, and for that reason trying to change it is not just stupid but wrong. Boys will be boys because boys are immutable. And they're stronger and more intelligent than feeeeeeeeemales
Btw women's only leagues in chess are a good thing because they help combat the misogyny in the game

Watch this if you don't understand

English Chess Federation ‘will not exclude trans women’ despite international ban, Maggie Baska, The Pink News, Aug 20, 2023

A Minnesota court granted a transgender woman athlete the right to participate in DGPT disc golf games for women. In response, the DGPT, "recognized as the top-tier professional league for disc golf athletes," said they'd stop holding women's games — but oddly, not men's games — in states where nondiscrimination laws might require them to allow trans women to compete with cis women. Erin Reed wrote: "DGPT released a statement that announced the cancellations, and cited 'competitive fairness' as their reason for cancelling all female professional games in states with strong protections around gender identity and human rights for transgender people. In the statement, they announce that they 'will not waiver' from this policy..." Note well: It isn't the transgender golfer, but the golf organization itself, that decided to stop hosting golf games. Reed said: "In adopting a similar stance — akin to the notion of 'taking my ball and going home' — DGPT is inflicting harm on the very individuals they purport to be safeguarding." ("Disc Golf Shuts Down 5 Events Because Trans Athlete Wins Court Case": Disc Golf Pro Tour has officially cancelled five events just to stop transgender athlete Natalie Ryan from playing after she won a major court victory. Erin Reed, Erin in the Morning (Substack), July 15, 2023.)

The Midnight Society tweets:
[mysterious circle of robed figures]
JK Rowling: hello children
JK Rowling: today we begin our biggessssst challenge
Jesse Singal: bigger than convincing our terf legion that men have a special bone that makes them good at chess?
JK Rowling: no that was remarkably easssy actually

"Trans Kids Playing Sports 'Women’s Issue Of Our Time,' Nikki Haley Says," Nick Visser, HuffPost, Jun 5, 2023.

HuffPost headline: Trans Kids Playing Sports ‘Women’s Issue Of Our Time,’ Nikki Haley Says

No, it isn't.


A.R. Moxon explains this issue: (No Beliefs, Just Intentions, The Reframe (Substack), Dec 17, 2023):

"The Nobles moved [from Iowa to neighboring Minnesota] because one of their children is trans, and the government of their home state of Iowa has decided that it would be better if trans people didn’t exist quite so much in Iowa, and have passed a law to make that happen. ... There are a lot of intentions stated behind this: the desire for fairness in girls’ sports is one, for example—which is interesting, since Republicans have never been particularly interested in funding girls’ sports, and the actual impact of trans kids on high school sports in Iowa is best described as “undetectable.” The desire to keep girls safe in school bathrooms is another, which is sort of rich coming from the same people who refuse to make schools safe from gun massacres, and who insist on forced birth legislation that is making maternal mortality rates spike, and who pass laws that require genital inspection. ... what it actually represents is an eliminationist attack, designed to make trans people and their families not exist—not in Iowa anyway. ...anywhere Republicans are able to gain (or seize) power, they are moving to eliminate trans people. It’s a standard feature of the eliminationist bundle in the United States. It’s sort of table stakes if you’re courting support from nice good-hearted white Christian fascists."

February 2024: "An executive order in Nassau County [New York] banning female transgender athletes from competing on girls’ teams is causing controversy with state officials and lawyers ridiculing it and questioning its legality." ("Hochul joins chorus of opposition to Nassau’s ban on transgender athletic participation," Katelyn Cordero, Politico, Feb 23, 2024)

See also: "Oh, It's About Sports, Is It?". It's a 14-minute read on Medium. Medium lets you read a certain number of stories for free every month. You may also consider a paid membership on the platform.

Wednesday, April 6, 2022

Books to read: Seen on Twitter

Sometimes (well, all the time) I am curious about books I notice while browsing Twitter. A few recents:

In case you missed it

Have you seen inside the book 'To Climates Unknown'?

The alternate history novel To Climates Unknown by Arturo Serrano was released on November 25, the 400th anniversary of the mythical First ...