The 2010s and 2020s are the "Fourth Turning."
Buy the book:
Book description: The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a human life, each composed of four eras - or "turnings" - that last about twenty years and that always arrive in the same order. First comes a High, a period of confident expansion as a new order takes root after the old has been swept away. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion against the now-established order. Then comes an Unravelling, an increasingly troubled era in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis - the Fourth Turning - when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. Together, the four turnings comprise history's seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. By applying the lessons of history, The Fourth Turning makes some bold and hopeful predictions about America's next rendezvous with destiny. It also shows us how we can prepare for what's ahead, both individually and as a nation.
Update: Please note harmful uses of the idea. For example, transphobes may identify a "fourth industrial revolution" as the ground for transgender self-determination; they believe transgender people are "new" and that such an era must be rejected because it contains or affirms trans people. https://www.the11thhourblog.com/post/noho-t%C5%ABturu-noho-tangata-stay-real-stay-human
Also
"[Steve] Bannon’s Manichaean worldview started young. At a Catholic military school in Richmond, Virginia, he learned about the 1492 reconquest of Spain as the turning point in an ongoing clash of civilizations between the Christian West and the Muslim world. As an adult, he devoured books on Attila the Hun and great military campaigns. He was obsessed with history, specifically the concept of historical cycles — the idea that time was not, as Americans usually learned, a linear march of progress, but rather, more like the view of ancient traditions, a recurring pattern of distinct phases. Bannon especially liked the version of this theory in “The Fourth Turning,” a 1997 book by historians Neil Howe and William Strauss, which ordered American history into generation‐long periods of highs, awakenings, unravelings and crises. The book predicted a coming rise of nationalism and authoritarianism, across the world and in America.
Bannon was not merely a student or passive observer of this prophecy; he wanted to be an agent of it, and an architect of the era that came next. So when he watched Trump glide down a golden escalator to announce his campaign for president, in 2015, his first thought was, “That’s Hitler!” By that he meant someone who intuitively understood the aesthetics of power, as in Nazi propaganda films. He saw in Trump someone who could viscerally connect with the general angst that Bannon was roiling and make himself a vessel for Americans’ grievances and desires."
— Isaac Arnsdorf, Finish What We Started, released April 9, 2024. Excerpt published in the Washington Post.
Here's another example from a June 2, 2023 blog post citing the idea:
[A video clip of Tim Pool and Joe Rogan talking about civil war is
"from four years ago, but I think we’ve escalated even more recently.
Just yesterday, Twitter blocked sharing and boosting a film titled “What is a Woman?” and the dispute was so serious that it caused their head of trust and safety to resign.
The film critiques gender ideology and the transgender activism movement. It was labeled as sensitive material and commenting and sharing were blocked.
I stumble upon pornographic content on Twitter all the time, and it’s never marked as sensitive. How is it controversial to have a discussion about what it means to be a woman?
It doesn’t make much sense, right? Well, unless you consider that we're in the fourth turning and in the middle of a full blown crisis that is about to blow like a volcano."
https://www.heidibriones.com/p/the-fourth-turning-is-upon-us-what
The author of this post tweeted "Don't call me cis" on June 20, when Elon Musk declared it was a slur.
Also pay attention to
"TESCREAL stands for "transhumanism, extropianism, singularitarianism, cosmism, rationalism (in a very specific context), Effective Altruism, and longtermism." It was identified by Timnit Gebru, former technical co-lead of the Ethical Artificial Intelligence Team at Google and founder of the Distributed Artificial Intelligence Research Institute (DAIR), and Émile Torres, a philosopher specialising in existential threats to humanity. These are separate but overlapping beliefs that are particularly common in the social and academic circles associated with big tech in California.
* * *
Longtermism is the belief that we should discount short-term harms to real existing human beings — such as human-induced climate change — if it brings us closer to the goal of colonizing the universe, because the needs of trillions of future people who don't actually exist yet obviously outweigh the needs of today's global poor."
— "We're sorry we created the Torment Nexus," November 10, 2023, Charlie Stross, antipope.org
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