Saturday, August 26, 2023

How many seconds, minutes, hours, days, or years will carbon capture restore?

On atmospheric carbon removal: Express it in time

Study shows support for carbon removal but great concern over solar manipulation by Ulrich von Lampe, Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) gGmbH, Phys.org, October 30, 2023

As of 2024, Germany isn't hitting its emissions targets, but is proposing to be a leader in carbon removal.

earth seen from space

The first large-scale industrial carbon capture and storage facility in the US is reportedly leaking. The CCS operation at ADM's Decatur facility is meant to demonstrate that the technology can be deployed safely. 😶 www.reuters.com/sustainabili...

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— Dr. Genevieve Guenther (@doctorvive.bsky.social) October 3, 2024 at 5:42 PM

As always: there is excessive skepticism about readily deployable and scalable climate solutions, and excessive credulity about experimental ones (particularly those that preserve the status quo rather than requiring deeper systemic change) www.latimes.com/environment/...

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— Ket-arbon Emissions Joshi (@ketanjoshi.co) October 25, 2024 at 2:57 AM

A really very very spectacular run-through of how carbon removal advocates REALLY used to say the quiet part out loud: literally, 'we are doing this to keep fossil fuels going' by @wimcarton.bsky.social, who's got a book on this w/ Andreas Malm coming out in Oct -->>> youtu.be/jlQhV1ag8FI

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— Ket-arbon Emissions Joshi (@ketanjoshi.co) May 28, 2024 at 11:51 AM

See this:

"In the 1990s, hope – coupled with doubt – was the fossil fuel industry’s antidote to the precautionary principle, the sensible idea that some problems had such dire implications that humanity should err on the side of caution even if the science was not completely settled. When George Bush was president, he was initially so concerned by the impact of fossil fuels on the climate that he looked into regulating the oil industry. But he backed away from this on the grounds that future generations would probably develop new technologies to solve the problem. Call that dumb, call that wishful thinking, or call that hope, the result was the same: no action.

That once again looks to be the temptation of Britain’s Labour government in promising £22bn for carbon capture and storage projects. This technology is supposed to catch greenhouse gas emissions before they can enter the atmosphere. But it is incredibly expensive, has never worked at the necessary scale and, until now, has largely been a ruse for the petroleum industry to continue pumping."

— Jonathan Watts, Would abandoning false hope help us to tackle the climate crisis?, The Guardian, Oct 24, 2024

FOLKS this is why you keep versioned copies of important emissions and energy data!!!!!!!!! Equinor's reported carbon capture amounts have been quietly revised downwards after they fixed a faulty transmitter: www.desmog.com/2024/10/28/n...

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— Ket-arbon Emissions Joshi (@ketanjoshi.co) October 28, 2024 at 6:24 AM

Okay, I have to do a thread on this pretty amazing article because it is just seriously chockers with eye-opening stats about 'direct air capture' - ie, sucking up air and trying to remove carbon dioxide from it news.mit.edu/2024/reality...

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— Ketan Joshi (@ketanjoshi.co) November 26, 2024 at 3:26 AM

Capturing direct from combustion (CCS), vs from air: “The difference is akin to needing to find 10 red marbles in a jar of 25,000 marbles of which 24,990 are blue [the task representing DAC] versus needing to find about 10 red marbles in a jar of 100 marbles of which 90 are blue [the task for CCS]"

— Ketan Joshi (@ketanjoshi.co) November 26, 2024 at 3:28 AM

On the sheer volume of air you need to suck up: "Given that low concentration, removing a single metric ton (tonne) of CO2 from air requires processing about 1.8 million cubic meters of air, which is roughly equivalent to the volume of 720 Olympic-sized swimming pools" (or, ~2.2 tonnes of air)

— Ketan Joshi (@ketanjoshi.co) November 26, 2024 at 3:32 AM

more or less on this team. the model should be more like remediation after oil spills - funded via the stick of punitive litigation, rather than the carrot of tax credits or offset sales

— Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò (@olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social) November 27, 2024 at 8:52 AM

On political nostalgia and the voice of self-described civility

old guy in a suit, smiling while typing on an old-school typewriter

Thomas Zimmer ("Moralizing Nostalgia Leads to Bad History – and Helps the Anti-Democratic Right" Substack, August 22, 2023) calls David Brooks "a prime example of a vacuous pundit class with a regrettably large influence that presents itself as reasonable and above the fray while only ever preaching the gospel of status-quo preservation." This particularly regards his September 2023 feature for The Atlantic, “How America Got Mean.” Brooks's 11,000-word article is based on "pervasive longing for a golden past that never really existed," as Zimmer paraphrases it; Americans used to grow up, Zimmer goes on to paraphrase Brooks, within a "system that trained 'the heart and body' rather than just the intellect, made sure people understood there was an 'objective moral order' that is beyond individual perspective, and emphasized personal virtue above all else." But then came political liberalism that concerned itself with fighting oppression and abandoned interest in "moral reasoning." Those people now, as Brooks puts it, seek to "fill the moral vacuum with politics and tribalism." Concerned with getting themselves recognized, people are unable to pursue a common good. And so what Brooks is doing is asserting a different kind of individualism. He says people should stop pursuing their political self-interest and instead develop their own moral character to fulfill their own soul. Then, somehow, a political common good will emerge. Brooks doesn't, as Zimmer points out, attempt to reconcile his theory with the simple observation that U.S. political life was not in fact more egalitarian before the mid-20th century when supposedly, according to Brooks, interest in moral formation crumbled.

I discussed this in my November 2024 article on Medium: My Identity is a 'Luxury Belief', and Other Reasons Trump Won

Regarding Brooks's August 2023 column, which I discussed in my Medium story & in one before it, see this article on Vox: "I regret to report the economic anxiety theory of Trumpism is back: In David Brooks’s new column, he asks the American elite if they’re the baddies. But he’s actually telling them a comforting fiction. Zack Beauchamp, Aug 4, 2023

In a follow-up article, "Why America’s Elites Love to Decry 'Polarization,'" Zimmer recommends Ezra Klein's Why We're Polarized but says it has a big problem: "what the author lays out is, by his own admission, not adequately interpreted as 'polarization.'" The Republicans are racially homogeneous, so they tend to radicalize. The Democrats are diverse, so they can't be extremist, because they have to hold diverse interests to together. Klein therefore refers to the phenomenon as “asymmetrical polarization.” Zimmer doesn't think this term makes much sense. Why use the word "polarization" at all? The two sides aren't the same, as "there is no liberal version of Fox News and the rightwing media bubble, the Democrats don’t have a Trump, and there is no equivalent on the Left to the influence of reactionary and white nationalist forces inside the GOP."

"The nostalgic longing for a supposedly better, pre-polarization era shines through even in generally excellent work, such as Steven Levitsky’s and Daniel Ziblatt’s investigation of How Democracies Die", a 2018 book in which the authors "settle on a warning against the dangers of 'polarization' and combine it with praise for the mid-twentieth-century consensus era that was supposedly characterized by 'egalitarianism, civility, sense of freedom.'"

Similarly, according to Zimmer, Jill Lepore in These Truths (2018)

"laments the emergence of radically partisan media on both left and right resulting in what she calls 'mutually assured epistemological destruction'. The metaphor is striking — but it hinges on the questionable characterization of Fox News and MSNBC as equally partisan and extreme. When Lepore gives a detailed account of Rush Limbaugh's outsized influence on conservative politics or the machinations of conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, it becomes clear that there are simply no equal counterparts on the Left. And yet, the narrative of polarization indicates that there should be, and encourages the search for (false) equivalence. Ultimately, it primes people to accept a politics focused on turning the clock back to a supposedly better past – before all the nastiness..."

Why say that Right and Left are polarized if it's not really true? Well: "For elite centrists, the 'polarization' framework and all the talk of radicalization and extremism 'on both sides' is a way to legitimize and re-assert their own status at the top." In other words, if you portray yourself as standing in an objective place, safely apart from two ridiculously warring factions, you defend the superiority of your own perspective and whatever it is you want to say.

This is about recovery from "the fracturing of the white elite consensus in the 1960s." Woe is us:

"Is there nothing America’s elite can agree on anymore? There is: Polarization is the problem! 'Polarization' is so attractive partly because the interpretation confirms the unease with which America’s elite has looked at the contentious developments that have shaped the country since the 60s – providing alleviation by legitimizing the nostalgia for 'consensus.' Blaming 'Polarization' never breeds contention, it makes everybody nod in approval; it engenders unanimity. That’s the genius of the polarization narrative: It provides the language for a lament that blames nobody and everybody, and satisfies the longing for unity – which it constantly fuels in turn! – by offering a consensual interpretation; it is elite consensus re-established through the back door."

I left a comment on this one too.

Note: I wrote about Why We're Polarized" on Books Are Our Superpower (unpaywalled "friends link"), and I wrote about How Democracies Die on this blog.


Brooks (and others) have argued that leftists should learn to make friends with people who don't share their beliefs. A.R. Moxon represents (while criticizing and satirizing) a view that Brooks put forward in another recent essay, describing it as a "gnostic idea" of a mind/body separation in which politics doesn't affect one's social life at garden parties:

"They’re a bloodless thing, politics, abstract, almost administrative sometimes. Making decisions about who you associate with based on political views is apparently like getting into a screaming fight over an improper stapling methodology on one’s TPS reports, or ending a friendship over pizza toppings. And at other times, political views are sacrosanct, holy, something you shouldn't ever even bring up much criticize, the most special and personal part of a person’s belief structure, something that a decent person would be no more likely to critique, much less reject, than they would be likely to tell a new mother that her baby is ugly.

I have noticed that whether political views are trivial or sacred seems to depend on the point the professional mourner of crumbling civility is trying to make in the moment, in order to bolster civility. They are usually trivial when we are meant to make friends despite them. They are usually sacrosanct when we try to point out what they are.

But some of us have notices that politics are neither of these things, have noticed that politics are where power is arranged and distributed, and have been listening not to the civility mourners or the supremacists they defend, but rather to the many people who are directly harmed by harmful policies driven by harmful political views, who have no luxury to believe in false separations. They know that politics are, in fact, a matter of spiritual alignment, and that spirit not something to do with ghosts, but with the blood and guts of how collective belief touches their lives."

(To which I left a comment on Mastodon: "'No one will be friends with me' seems a cousin of 'I’m being canceled.' In both complaints, the supremacist objects to a lack of attention or fame they feel they’re inherently owed, though it be a kind of attention they may not truly want, since when it's given to them in a genuine form along with any criticism, they persist in their original complaint ('everyone’s intolerant and hostile,' 'I’m being canceled') and tack on another: “my right to free speech is being violated." The box did not allow space for the sentence with which I wanted to conclude: "Because criticism violates their purported right not to be criticized, a right they implicitly claim is the true meaning of free speech.")

To bring it back to the "blood and guts":

Evan Urquhart: When people talk about making friends with people who have different politics, my first impulse is usually to try and humanize myself, as a trans person, and try to explain what they're asking- that I make friends with people who have a psychopathic indifference to my wellbeing. Aug 27, 2023

Jude Ellison S. Doyle (discussing other writers and not mentioning Brooks specifically) coins the term "Reasonable White Guy Voice". Doyle describes it as

"a tone of affable, detached professionalism and erudition, mixed with just enough in-group references to seem contemporary — the voice of someone who owns both a worn-out Black Flag t-shirt and a framed diploma from Harvard. The voice is medium-deep, medium-rich, personable, unaccented; it emits a consistent, low, diffused warmth, like the pink glow coming off a Himalayan salt lamp, but never strays into a register that could be considered emotional. Emotion would undermine its credibility, which is immense. Niceness without empathy, opinion without emotion, credibility without vulnerability, is what Reasonable White Guy Voice is all about.

* * *

...the people most taken in by RWGV are not the reading public. ... The intended audience for this performance is other journalists, who mistake Reasonable White Guy Voice for intelligence and authority because it’s what they’ve been taught to strive for in their own work.

* * *

Reasonable White Guy prose is not only written by white guys, but it is always written for white guys, because that is the worldview it’s meant to capture: That of someone so insulated from the world and its suffering that he can watch as it burns and not feel a thing."

(I left a comment on the Medium article.)

A further comment I wish to make: Doyle wrote that "Being a Reasonable White Guy might make some truths more available, but it will also obscure others from view. ... A truth is a fact within its proper context." I'd add that, when we don't have context, we can't point out when someone is talking like a mob boss. The mob boss never publicly says "I offed that guy" in exactly those words, and instead says "It's too bad what happened to him," and everyone knows he's taking responsibility — or, at least, he's gloating that he'd gladly off someone else in similar circumstances. He's not expressing empathy for the victim. His words have a meaning that isn't literal and self-encapsulated; their meaning comes from the context. So when we lack context, we can't interpret threats or warn others of them. Authoritarians communicate publicly with each other, and their victims are silenced by being told approximately: Well, the authoritarian didn't say that. He didn't say what you're accusing him of saying. He expressed empathy and sorrow. And so language is scooped up by the powerful and its power-plays are denied to anyone who doesn't already have power, thereby further disempowering, abusing, and victimizing them. This makes it difficult to have a truth-based discourse about important things.

Richard Hanania, Rising Right-Wing Star, Wrote For White Supremacist Sites Under Pseudonym. Hanania is championed by tech moguls and a U.S. senator, but HuffPost found he used a pen name to become an important figure in the “alt-right.” Christopher Mathias, Aug 4, 2023, Updated Aug 7, 2023

Oh, and an update on Hanania:

Lincoln Michel tweets on September 18: While not surprising, it's quite galling how Hanania wrote one insincere blog post about no longer being racist to heaps of praise and support from the 'contrarian' and centrist sets and then... went immediately back to posting the same racist things without skipping a beat.

Here's Ken White, weighing in on Hamish McKenzie of Substack defending his choice to speak with Hanania: "Taking everyone at their word that they’re not a Nazi, and deciding to accept that they mean racist things in non-racist ways, is a value judgment too. It’s a decision; you can’t plausibly spin it as a refusal to make a decision." (Ken White, "Substack Has A Nazi Opportunity," Dec 21, 2023)

Rep Mike Collins tweet showing a crowd of white students counterprotesting a Gaza protest, including one in the foreground who's imitating a monkey, to mock a Black woman (not shown). May 3, 2024. His text is: Ole Miss is taking care of business. The words 'From Richard Hanania' under the image, inside the tweet, is highlighted in red.

(This image is from an article by Judd Legum on May 8.)

The Washington Post says:

"The version of the video that Collins shared is credited to Richard Hanania, someone who previously espoused white supremacist views that he has since said he disavows. In sharing the video, Hanania wrote, 'This video from Ole Miss is beautiful, but guys, please put away the phones. Be in the moment when you’re mocking the Hamas loving fat girl.'"

After the 2024 election: "if a lack of empathy was what swung voters i think the party that made lacking empathy their central political tenet might have lost" — Peter on Bluesky

if you live around conservatives, a common bumper sticker reads “liberalism is a mental disorder.” you’ll see effigies of dem politicians, unhinged screeds about satan-worshipping dems written on lawn signs. this stuff gets ignored while any hint of condescension from liberals is treated as endemic

— Peter (@notalawyer.bsky.social) November 26, 2024 at 4:27 PM

On which point, see: Outrage over offending red America highlights a major double standard in media: Right-wing media clutch pearls after a Republican strategist mocked Trump supporters on TV. But when Trump attacks millions of Americans, they and mainstream journalists simply accept it as normal. Parker Molloy, Media Matters, January 30, 2020

Sources

"Richard Hanania and the Reasonable White Guy Voice," Jude Ellison S. Doyle, Medium, August 16, 2023

"If You Want To Be Friends, Then Why Aren’t You Friendly?": A look at one of the most alarming and pressing problems of our age: the much-lamented fact that "the left" won't be friends with "the right," over "political views." The Reframe (Substack). A. R. Moxon. August 26, 2023

"Moralizing Nostalgia Leads to Bad History – and Helps the Anti-Democratic Right" Thomas Zimmer, Substack, August 22, 2023

David Brooks on political polarization, New York Times, March 2, 2019

Why America’s Elites Love to Decry “Polarization”, Thomas Zimmer, Substack, September 25, 2023

Related to which, my essays on Medium:

When we disagree on politics and I lose a friend, and Yet another pro-discrimination argument (on Brooks and Jonathan Rauch).

Rabbi Ruti Regan - Mar 12, 2019 - There is nothing shameful about being afraid of people who have made it clear that they want to hurt you.

See also: For some Never Trumpers, the main problem with Trump is his aesthetic or his tone, not his fascism. Some people believe they have nothing at stake. So for them, "the fundamental problem with Trump has always been that he is gauche. The 14th amendment remedy is also gauche. So, to them, it is no better than reelecting Trump." Dave Karpf, Bluesky

Similarly:

"Even people who despised Trump only really seemed to despise the grotesqueness of him; when it came to the authoritarian abuses he proposed, they weren't only on board, they saw these abuses as necessary, even intrinsic to safety. For example, try suggesting that the answer to ongoing systemic nationwide open corruption and brutality in policing is to maybe not fund the police as if it were a wartime army. Or suggest that maybe we don't need to spend all our money on the military industrial complex. Or suggest that a country that imprisons people for profit as part of a growth industry needs to engage in prison abolition.

* * *

...what I mean by "a spiritual sickness"—a preference within a society for lies over truths, and a preference within society's norms and institutions and laws to show preference to those who believe the lies over those who tell the truth. I began to suspect that—while we should work for political change, and while we ought to work to make our laws just, and their application and enforcement fair—it wasn't going to be enough to simply readjust the mechanisms of our existing order. We were going to have to do something foundational about our underlying beliefs—the architecture of our collective belief that defines and determines the shape of reality upon which that order sits. And then we were going to have to translate those beliefs into actions that reflected those truths—this particularly if we are in that specific subset of we to whom our society's norms and institutions and laws show preference and deference: men, and "white" people, and wealthy people, and employed, and able-bodied, and straight, and Christian, and so forth."

An Interview with Author A.R. Moxon About 'Very Fine People' (with Parker Molloy), May 2024

Sarah Kendzior says ("The King," Sarah Kendzior’s Newsletter, Substack, Sept 12, 2024):

"Americans are forced to live forever on the precipice, while politicians and pundits feign opposition for profit. They need you to see Trump as a novel and singular threat, instead of a long-time player in multiple corrupt networks — because they inhabit those same networks, as do their financial backers.

My guess is that you, dear reader, would like autocracy to actually be defeated — in the form of Trump, and in general.

But that is not what The Autocracy Cottage Industry wants. They would rather join the Trump administration and then write tell-all books about crimes they witnessed but did not stop. They would rather pass the same repressive policies Trump did but cloak them in gentler rhetoric. They fundraise off your fear."

For the "Vichy Democrats or Never-Trump Republicans or the predatory scammers surrounding them," Kendzior goes on, "there is only Trump and Not-Trump. Your thinking must never extend beyond that binary." That is, if Trump does it, it's bad; if anyone else does it, it's licit.

Kendzior continues:

"[Harris's] warm response to Dick Cheney’s approval should be greeted with alarm — particularly when war criminals are welcomed into the Harris fold while antiwar protesters are rejected.

It is obvious what happened even if some are reluctant to cop to it: Bush-era Republican operatives, unable to function in the chaos of MAGA, saw an opportunity to remake the Democratic Party, which had been lurching to the right since the 1990s, and took it. They left receipts: the conservative Lincoln Project is Harris’s fourth biggest donor. Change in Democratic Party policy is determined by donations — not only the Lincoln Project’s — and then rationalized with the Trump/Not-Trump binary."

On May 10, 2024, Trump complained that he has a gag order in his hush-money election interference trial: "Everybody can say whatever they want. But I'm not allowed to say anything about anybody." (CNN) More precisely, Trump can't publicly comment on the judge's family, the district attorney's family, court staff or their families, prosecutors or their families, or prospective jurors or their families. Why? Because it puts those people at risk, and such intimidation can prejudice the outcome of the trial. Defendants in criminal trials are not allowed to threaten or pressure people who have a role in their trial. That's what Trump is complaining about when he says "I'm not allowed to say anything about anybody."

To campaign, you do need to explain things to people

Seriously, y'all. It's not helping your cause.

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— -𝚖𝚘𝚡 (@moxiest.art) Apr 21, 2024 at 2:16 PM

Legitimately had someone say "this shouldn't have to be explained" and like, bro, do you not understand what campaigning is?

— -𝚖𝚘𝚡 (@moxiest.art) Apr 21, 2024 at 2:26 PM

Being civil to enslavers means covering up their crime?

George Washington enslaved people. "This is an extensively documented fact," CNN reminds us. And yet Trump, on June 22, 2024:

During a speech to the Faith and Freedom Coalition, a conservative Christian group, Trump criticized proposals to change the names of schools, military facilities and other places that honor slaveowners and Confederate leaders. (Under President Joe Biden, the Army has renamed nine installations that had been named for Confederate generals.) And Trump said, “How about George Washington high school? ‘We want the name removed from that high school.’ They don’t know why. You know, they thought he had slaves. Actually I think he probably didn’t.’”

What is the point of denying slavery? To be extra nice to the enslavers?

This is slavery denialism.

Thursday, August 24, 2023

Ships have to wait 3 weeks to cross the Panama Canal

The Panama Canal was dug relatively shallow compared to the ocean on either side. It fills with water using a system of water locks. This depends on nearby lakes being full. Unfortunately, when those lakes suffer from drought, ships simply have to wait to cross the canal.

See also: "A severe drought is affecting the Panama Canal. That’s not a good sign for supply chains — or your holiday shopping." Alicia Wallace, CNN, August 26, 2023

"The dry weather in Panama shows no sign of letting up with the El Niño weather phenomenon wreaking havoc to schedulers working for the country’s canal administration.

The Panama Canal Administration warned yesterday that following the driest October on record, the volume of daily transits will be cut further.

At its maximum, the canal can handle 40 ship transits a day, a figure that has been eroded this year as months of record drought take their toll. In tandem, canal administrators have been forced to cut maximum draft limits for ships transiting the waterway’s larger neopanamax locks by close to 2 m."

Record dry weather forces further dramatic cuts at the Panama Canal, Sam Chambers, Splash247, November 1, 2023

Every seemingly small choice we make — how to travel, what to buy, where and whom to buy from, and how long we're willing to wait — will make a difference on the future of the planet. Related to this, please see: "Both Climate Optimists and Doomers are Wrong: It’s not hopeful complacency or smug nihilism from here on, it’s selfless mitigation", T. J. Brearton, Medium, August 23, 2023. It's a 7-minute read on Medium.

ocean

Wednesday, August 23, 2023

Climate: non-linear changes, tipping points, and 3°C obliteration

trees
Feb 8, 2020 Ben See tweets: A devastating non-linear climate event is about to shock humanity and it will probably have something to do with the Arctic.
1. 95% of old ice gone
2. ice free by 2021-2031
3. fastest warming place on Earth
4. CH₄ release now unprecedented
5. permafrost collapse is irreversible

Funnily enough spotted this just after attending a @h2020protect.bsky.social webinar on the #Greenland tsunami of 2017, which was caused by an event very similar to this one, where a mountainside collapsed into a fjord. Thawing permafrost likely a cause in Nugatsiaq, did it also play a role here?

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— Ruth Mottram (@ruthmottram.bsky.social) November 18, 2024 at 9:33 AM

See these articles:

Risks of 'domino effect' of tipping points greater than thought, study says, Guardian, December 20, 2018

The Last Butterflies? Nick Haddad, Scientific American, September 19, 2019

Dr. Genevieve Guenther tweets on Aug 22, 2023: It is very hard to write about the projected catastrophes of 3°C of warming. I keep having to step away from my desk to cry. Mad respect to the scientists & journalists who write about this stuff, rather than the comparatively (emotionally) easier stuff of political malfeasance.
Glen Peters, Aug 19 2023 tweets:
According to the #IPCC AR6 Synthesis Report, to limit global warming to '1.5°C with no or limited overshoot', then global CO2 emissions decline:
* 48% in 6 years
* 80% in 14 years
* 99% in 24 years
(thanks @_david_ho_ for reminding me to remind people)

Here's the IPCC synthesis Peters is linking to.

In response to Peters, David Ho says:

Aug 23, 2023 David Ho tweets: Even if CO₂ emissions decreased annually as much as during the pandemic lockdown, we wouldn't achieve our climate targets. While individuals made huge sacrifices, the system remained. This shows that individual action will not solve climate change. We need the system to change.

  "We’re murdering the planet right now, in case you didn’t know. Or if we’re not murdering it, we’re making it uninhabitable for ourselves specifically, because we seem to believe we can’t afford to keep it inhabitable.
  It seems like a bad time to engage in fights to murder each other, but the urges to murder the planet and to murder each other seem conjoined. It might be a good time to fight whatever urges are leading us to do such wasteful things in a time of great need."
— A.R. Moxon, "Hurting The Right People": It has happened before, but there is nothing to compare it to now. Spirits of harm and lack; spirits of solidarity and abundance. The Reframe (Substack), Oct. 14, 2023

See also: "Climate Change is Expensive, But That’s Not the Point". It's a 10-minute read on Medium.

Saturday, August 19, 2023

Trump and allies encouraging political violence (August 2023)

Thomas Lecaque wrote on Twitter on August 6, 2023: "There's no master plan, there is no desire for martyrdom, there's no goal of incarceration as part of a political master strategy. Have y'all never met someone who never got told no before and couldn't figure out a way around it? It's a temper tantrum with teeth. Attacking the prosecutor, witness and judge is because he's a fucking fascist baby flailing and screaming and wailing, and the main problem is stochastic terrorism laps that up."

On August 13, Mehdi Hasan observed, as paraphrased by Ben Blanchet for HuffPost,

"recent remarks from Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who recently declared that 'only through force' can there be change in Washington.

He also looked at recent comments from Michigan state Rep. Matt Maddock, who – in a clip shared by The Messenger – warned that there could be a 'civil war or some sort of revolution' if the government 'continues to weaponize' departments against conservatives and citizens."

On August 14, Trump directly complained about Judge Chutkan, as Politico reported, even though at a hearing just three days earlier in his federal case for his attempts to overturn the 2020 election, Chutkan "warned Trump, who has a history of publicly assailing judges, prosecutors and those arrayed against him as witnesses, that his inflammatory remarks could force her to speed up his criminal trial."

Mueller, She Wrote tweets Aug 14, 2023: Can @TheJusticeDept withdraw their request for a 1/2/24 trial and submit for a sooner date based on inflammatory posts like this? It’s past their deadline. Perhaps they can file a response to trump’s motion for a trial date due tomorrow? He’s tainting the jury pool. (Accompanied by a screenshot of a Trump post on social media quoting Judge Chutkan in all caps. Chutkan had said: 'the people who mobbed that Capitol were there in fealty, in loyalty, to one man'

On the evening of August 14, Trump was also indicted in Georgia for his 2020 election interference there. The charges refer to about a dozen separate incidents.

Can he wiggle his way out of these charges?

Former federal prosecutor Renato Mariotti said: "It is very, very challenging to represent a client that is facing criminal indictment on multiple fronts." While the prosecutor "can focus like a laser on what they need to do to get a conviction," the defense "has to balance a bunch of different competing concerns."

But Trump is not an ordinary defendant. We will see.

Some Republican activists are saying he can't win Georgia in 2024.

Meanwhile Sarah Palin too is encouraging his supporters to fight back. So too, Georgia state Sen. Colton Moore: "I don’t want to have to draw my rifle."

Here's his trial calendar, compared with the primary election calendar, as expected in late August 2023.

President Biden says

On September 28, 2023:

"'There’s something dangerous happening in America now,' Biden said during his speech in Arizona, where he was also honoring his friend, the late Republican Sen. John McCain. 'There’s an extremist movement that does not share the basic beliefs of our democracy: The MAGA movement.'
'There’s no question that today’s Republican Party is driven and intimidated by MAGA Republican extremists,' he said, using the acronym for Trump’s political movement. 'Their extreme agenda, if carried out, would fundamentally alter the institutions of American democracy as we know it.'
* * *
'Trump says the Constitution gave him the right to do whatever he wants as president,' Biden said, referencing his most likely GOP challenger by name. 'I’ve never heard presidents say that in jest.'
— "Biden previews 2024 message by warning that Trump's movement is a threat to American democracy", CNN, Sept. 28, 2023.

In November 2023, one of the founders of Students for Trump was arrested for allegedly assaulting a woman with a gun.

On December 20, 2023, Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold said “I’ve received hundreds if not thousands of threats at this point.” This is about a case that Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington brought in September; it was "filed by six unaffiliated and Republican voters in Colorado." Technically, Griswold says, “I filed it because I’m the secretary of state. I did not bring this case. Within three weeks of it being filed, I received 64 death threats and over 900 non-lethal threats of abuse. I stopped counting after that.” What's up with those "non-lethal threats of abuse"? Well, that's stochastic terrorism, isn't it? People make the sort of threats that they feel is consistent with their own self-image. Most people don't think of themselves as murderers. Yet they don't mind ramping up the heat and waiting to see what others do.

Monday, August 14, 2023

Kellie-Jay Keen: Men should have manly voices

So-called "gender critical" people don't support the right to wear whatever you want, free of gender stereotypes. Recently, I wrote: "WDI Co-Author Doesn't Support Dressing However You Like". It's a 7-minute read on Medium.

shoes

This issue is persistent. On August 9, Kellie-Jay Keen tweeted:

KJK tweets: That voice ... (with vomit emoji)

She was referring to Seann Altman (who uses he/him pronouns), an actor in a Disney ad who deliberately dressed up like Minnie Mouse. Kellie-Jay Keen didn't like his voice in the ad. Someone argued, well, maybe he sounds like that because he has a gay man's voice. Kellie-Jay Keen insisted: No, this is a man imitating a woman. He sounds coquettish, i.e., flirty. (Of course. He was imitating Minnie Mouse in a paid performance.)

One Twitter user responds: Voice of a gay man. KJK replies: That’s not the problem with his voice, ffs.  Its coquettish to suit the girls clothes. The other user replies: A lot of gay men, at least in America, sound precisely like this...

KJK wants a man to wear men's clothes and have a man's voice. She expects conformity to gender stereotypes.

Arty Morty on August 10:

Arty Morty @artymortyarty tweets: Do gay men's voices make you vomit? I am really not interested in acrobatics to justify this. I'm really really not. If you haven't figured out by now, I don't play favourites and I call homopobia out whenever I see it. And this is nakedly crossing the line.

Then, on August 11:

BforBackup
tweets: Gender Critical Posie Parker commenting on a cis gay man being gender nonconforming. So much for 'wear what you want'?
Aidan Comerford tweets Aug 14, 2023: Posie Parker is the defacto leader of the 'gender critical' movement, and says [that] she never agreed with @jk_rowling saying 'dress however you please.' Rowling? Silent.
'It takes a great deal of bravery to stand up to our enemies, but just as much to stand up to our friends.'
Joss Prior tweets: Saturday Night Meltdown Special: Double-Bill. Posies almost constant homophobia has pricked Arty Mortys rapier-like spidey-senses.. and there's a falling out between the tradwives and the gays, underneath the Beige Umbrella of transphobia. Gender Non-conformity is non gratis.
Joss Prior tweets: Moving on from attacking all Gender non-conformity.. She eventually lumbers into what demographic has really given her the chub-rub, and ...astonishingly..its a group of people who fail to reach the Gender-critical gold-standard of white, cisgender and heterosexual..(and beige.)

Gender-critical people do not actually support your right to wear whatever you like. They support gender stereotypes.

Friday, August 11, 2023

SATURDAY: Join us online at Medium Day (it's free!)

Saturday, August 12, 2023

This is Medium Day!

Electric Unknowing: Gender Transition, 25 Years Later

When we come out as LGBTQ, we assert who we are and who we want to be. But of course we'll change and mature throughout our lives. I often write about being a transgender man. I don't write directly about my transition in 1998; instead, I tend to share what I'm still learning today. I'll give writing prompts: what you know and can act on, what you don't know and might learn, what's been standing in your way, what's your electrifying insight right now, and what will change. For anyone who wants a nudge to structure — or unstructure — a personal essay.

Please register for this talk! It's free!

Register for Medium Day which will have 250+ talks! The whole day is free.
"Electric Unknowing" will be at 3:30 p.m. ET

Tell Us As You Write Your Story...

Here's a taste of what it'll be about.

What You Know and Can Act On Live within the bounds of the person you are

What You Don’t Know and Might Learn Leave room for growth

What’s Been Standing in Your Way? I’ve learned so much from writing about transphobia

Your Electrifying Insight Right Now You have this feeling because you’re alive

What Will Change? Something is going to change. Oh, yes. Be certain of it.

I'm speaking at Medium Day!

Thursday, August 10, 2023

Denialism of the planet and of trans people

Earth seen from space

Scientists have understood climate change since the 1910s.

There were trans people back then too.

Florida approves instructional material from a climate denial and anti-trans organization

Children's videos produced by the Prager University Foundation (PragerU) have been approved for use in Florida classrooms. In grades K–5, PragerU videos may be shown to tach civics and government. PragerU's climate denial videos include, as Scott Waldman phrased it for Politico: "Wind and solar power pollute the Earth and make life miserable. Recent global and local heat records reflect natural temperature cycles. And people who champion those beliefs are fighting oppression." Florida is currently willing to show these as long as they're not categorized as being climate videos. Of course, because everything is connected: "PragerU's foray into approved classroom use comes as conservative states and politicians aggressively seek to dismantle curriculum in African-American history and LGBTQ issues." This organization is funded by fossil fuel billionaires.

another PragerU video shows Frederick Douglass caring about justifications for slavery
Katherine Stewart - Aug 12, 2023 - The largest funders of Prager, which is apparently paying to promote themselves in my timeline, include the biblical-literalist, right-wing fracking billionaires Dan and Farris Wilks.
Jeff Sharlet tweets Aug 13, 2023: I’ve been reporting on rightwing movements for 20 yrs. Disappointing to see my beloved hometown paper, @VNewsUV, describe Prager U as 'right leaning.' The Economist is 'right leaning'; Prager has always been very hard right. 1/
Sharlet: More to the point, NH & New England media are covering Prager U’s attempted incursion as if it’s just this financial literacy course. As if Prager U hasn’t long & openly campaigned to find wedges into public ed thru which they can expand their anti-LGBTQ, anti-Black ideas. 6/6

This organization also creates anti-trans material.

Meanwhile, in 2022, the manatees died. "At Least 800 Manatees Died In Florida Last Year As Starvation Concerns Continue." The seagrass meadows that manatees eat have been disappearing due to widespread water pollution. Nick Visser, HuffPost, Jan 13, 2023."

On August 30, 2023, when Hurricane Idalia hit Florida, a 100-year-old tree oak tree fell on the governor's mansion in Tallahassee where DeSantis lives. Does DeSantis believe in climate change now? No he does not. No he does not. (President Biden knows it, though.)

We have science explaining why

The Real Prof. Katharine Hayhoe @KHayhoe tweets on August 27, 2023: 'Every "but what about...?' argument against human-caused climate change is already covered by @skepticscience's handy list; so why won't it convince people? Because it's never been about science or facts. It's solution aversion so any excuse that justifies that position will do."

The science exists. Climate deniers, procrastinators, and apologists don't want science. They just want to make excuses.

Why governments refuse to address climate change

Paul Krugman wrote in June 2022 for the New York Times that there are four reasons why climate change is difficult to solve politically:

  • "when scientists began raising the alarm in the 1980s, climate change looked like a distant threat — a problem for future generations."
  • climate isn't "visible to the naked eye, at least the naked eye that doesn’t want to see."
  • people have always stated that it would be too expensive to significantly cut greenhouse gas emissions.
  • because solutions require coordinated "global action," it's simple for someone to counsel inaction, on the grounds that some other country will always continue to wreck the planet.

In sum, it's been discussed as something far in the future, not directly perceivable, difficult to address (tech, $, etc.), and requiring worldwide cooperation or else why bother.

Denialism of the planet's life and of trans people's lives feels similar

How much of this climate inaction resembles transphobia, hmm? Transphobic arguments about whether we're too futuristic; whether we are or aren't obviously trans to everyone we meet; whether we're technologically, linguistically, and culturally impossible and therefore don't actually exist; and whether we require some unfathomably burdensome accommodation just to survive, the implementation of which would remake the world.

Aug 23, 2023 Gillian Branstetter [Coughing up smog and the ash of a dying planet] 'There are two genders'

Racial denialism

In response to an NBC article on PragerU (Dec 30, 2023), these comments on Bluesky:

NBC article: In one animation, two time-traveling kids ask Christopher Columbus whether he enslaved Indigenous people. Cartoon Columbus responds, 'Being taken as a slave is better than being killed,' and insists it is 'estupido' to judge him by modern moral standards. In another, the abolitionist Frederick Douglass defends the Founding Fathers for not outlawing slavery. On Bluesky on Jan 1, 2024, Daniel Drezner responds: 'Say what now.' Coffeemancer Vanvidum adds: 'We have to judge Christopher Columbus by the standards of his time? Okay! The Spanish royal court was horrified by his brutal, bloody cruelty, stripped him of power and position in full condemnation. Do you have any idea how hard it was to horrify early modern Spanish elites?'

Supporting racism is racist.

Misinformation on climate, transgender, race, political opponents

[Corey S. Powell:] "You have written about three broad misinformation techniques in the trans debates: oversimplifying scientific knowledge, fabricating and misinterpreting research and promoting false equivalences. Are these the same techniques that have been used in science-based arguments about race and other human traits?"

[Simón(e) Sun:] "Absolutely. Even in climate change. Perhaps the most salient example is race science. There’s an entire history of asking about the science of racial differences, and how can we describe them in a biological way. That kind of research has been used in the past, and still is to some extent today, to bolster racist arguments. It’s an oversimplification to say that one population exhibits a lower average IQ than another population. That’s just biology, but there’s also social environment, socioeconomic status and other factors that come into play."
— Interview in OpenMind, April 2024

"...anti-trans rhetoric has swamped the actual science. Only a concerted effort by trans inclusive writers with large enough audiences can put a dent in this, and this will only have an impact if anti-trans voices are shown to be peddlers of misinformation. Yet more energy spent wasted on combatting misinformation when the reality is we need to address the actual issues facing trans healthcare. ...this sucks energy from trans content creators who are forced to combat this misinformation, time they could be using on other things."
"Trans medical science communication," Rachel Saunders, April 20, 2024

"Trump falsely claims Harris rally crowd ‘didn’t exist,’ was AI-generated," New York Times, August 11, 2024

Call it out

"The way you deny the denial is with accurate naming."
— A.R. Moxon, No Beliefs, Just Intentions, The Reframe (Substack), Dec 17, 2023.

That's why I use the word "transphobic." Opposing or "being skeptical" of trans people is denialism of historical and scientific facts. The denialism isn't curious nor intellectual nor empathetic. It's transphobic. I name it what it is.

Although, as Florence Ashley said in the same OpenMind interview:

[Corey S. Powell:] "Here's a huge question: How do you help the general public recognize legitimate information from BS?"

[Florence Ashley:] "We need to get out of the idea that correcting misinformation by itself will convince people. But once you’ve appealed to people's emotions, once you've appealed to people's values and desire to be on your side, then correcting misinformation can make their commitment to equality sustainable. And there’s another gap, which is people who don't really have an opinion. If you already don't have an opinion on the topic, then being exposed to actual, scientifically grounded information can be very helpful. That's often what we see in courts, where even judges who were appointed by Donald Trump will sometimes rule in favor of trans rights when they're presented with information and they don’t have much preconceptions. They realize, oh, there’s so much evidence in favor of trans rights, we’ve got to do something about that. That's possible because we are talking about people who didn't have strong political attachments yet."

Wednesday, August 9, 2023

Constellation Protection Prayer: Audio on Bandcamp

Another new find

"The Constellation Protection Prayer is an adaptation of the Angel Prayer invoked at the end of the Bedtime Shema.

This is a practice one can do at night when going to sleep, or when going to a medical appointment, or joining a protest—really any time one needs to call in connection, accompaniment, ancestors, protection to surround us."

released August 1, 2023
Guided prayer offering and vocals: Cole Krawitz
Song Vocals: Batya Levine batyalevine.bandcamp.com
Melody: HaMalach HaGoel by Abie Rotenberg
Audio Editing: Batya Levine

On Bandcamp, you can listen online for free, or you can pay $9 to download the track and support the creators.

nature

La Línea Negra: Audio on Bandcamp

Sharing some listening

Found today on Bandcamp.

"La Linea Negra is an independent project exposing through a sonic journey the encounter with a native Aruachos family in the area of Santa Marta, in the Sierra Nevada. ... released September 10, 2020"

Music by: Ab Uno (Eugenio Petrarca / Roberto Di Ciaccio)
Mastered by Andrea Porcu
Original photography by: Francesca Piccolo
Record label: Lᴏɴᴛᴀɴᴏ Series
Publisher: ROHS! RECORDS

solid green

Sunday, August 6, 2023

What's causing insects to die out?

hungry baby birds
Ben See
@ClimateBen
BREAKING:  scientists confirm there are so many different things contributing to insect declines during the rapid mass extinction of industrial capitalism that it’s death by a thousand cuts

On mass extinction

"What Happens If a Tiny Insect Goes Extinct? Should We Even Care?: The looming threat of an insect apocalypse with the possibility of countless extinct species has environmentalists concerned. Are there any solutions to this crisis?" Anna Nordseth, Discover Magazine, Jul 1, 2023

More losers than winners: investigating Anthropocene defaunation through the diversity of population trends Catherine Finn, Florencia Grattarola, Daniel Pincheira-Donoso. 15 May 2023

Stewart, M., Carleton, W.C. & Groucutt, H.S. Climate change, not human population growth, correlates with Late Quaternary megafauna declines in North America. Nat Commun 12, 965 (2021).

Agribusiness drives severe decline of essential insects. June 10, 2020.

North American grassland birds in peril, spurring all-out effort to save birds and their habitat | AP News

Why you should tell your children about vanishing fireflies. Advice by Michael J. Coren. Washington Post, August 29, 2023

It's about CO2 emissions

"Supervolcano study finds CO2 emissions key to avoiding climate disasters," Curtin University, Phys.org, July 26, 2022

Related

"We know who's responsible for orange sky". It's a 2-minute read on Medium.

In case you missed it

Have you seen inside the book 'To Climates Unknown'?

The alternate history novel To Climates Unknown by Arturo Serrano was released on November 25, the 400th anniversary of the mythical First ...